Climate Change and Violent Conflict
Week-by-Week Planning
Class Dates and Focus | Assigned/ Due |
Class Learning Topics | Readings, Viewings, and Listening’s |
Week 1, xx 1a. Introduction |
Introductions, Syllabus and Weekly Planner | Posted Syllabus and Weekly Planner on course BB site under “Course Information”. | |
1b. Class Products and Tools (Lab Session) |
Assigned #0>> Discuss Case Study Topic |
Introduction to Cases and Software | Read>>ICE Web Site: http://www1.american.edu/ted/ICE/iceall.html |
Week 2, xx
2a. Climate and conflict Views |
Due #0> > Case Study Topic | Compare/Contrast: Lee, Saleyhan, Gleditsch |
Read>> Lee, Chapter 1, “Climate Change War”, (pp. 1-23) Read>> Saleyhan, “No Consensus Yet” (Class BB Site>Articles #1) Read>> Gleditsch, Climate and Conflict” (Class BB Site>Articles #2) |
2b. Setting your case
(Lab Session) |
Assigned #1>> Case Study Topic |
The Case Study and the Template | Read>> ICE Template: http://www1.american.edu/ted/ice/tempice.htm Read>> About Case Studies: http://www1.american.edu/ted/class/cstudy.htm Read>> Coding ICE Cases, Categories: http://www1.american.edu/ted/class/codingice.html |
Week 3, xx
3a. When Nature was in Control |
Due Assign #1> Case Study Proposal | Compare/Contrast:
Lee, Ruddiman |
Read>> Lee, Chapter 2, “History: The Holocene” (pp. 24-3) Read>> Ruddiman, Chapters 1-2, pp 1-64, Nature in Control |
3b. How to Create Causal Loops | Concepts of Causal Loops in class | View>> From BB Course site, “Causal Diagrams”, PowerPoint, Causal Loops Tab, Item #1 Read>> Systems http://thesystemsthinker.com/tstgdlines.html (see the other tabs under this site as well such as guidelines or creating diagrams) |
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Week 4, xx
4a. The Medieval Climate Optimum |
Assigned #2>> Causal Loops |
Compare/Contrast: Lee, Ruddiman, and Fagan |
Read>> Lee, Chapter 2, “History: Medieval Optimum” (pp. 34-42) Read>> Fagan, Chap. 1, “A Time of Warming”, pp. 1-21 Read>> Ruddiman, Chaps 2-4 (pp. 65-150), Humans begin Control |
4b. Building Causal Loop Diagrams
(Lab Session) |
Dia Diagrams and Picassa Graphic Editing | View>> Livia on Dia http://vimeo.com/23593821 View>> Dia Tutorial http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FVsvsrzxmnI Download>> Picasa: http://picasa.google.com/ Dia: http://dia-installer.de/See BB course folder “Causal Loops” |
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Week 5, xx
5a. Comparing Historic Cases (1) |
Assigned>> History (Assignment #3) |
Compare/Contrast: Fagan, Matching Cases in Old World |
Read>> Fagan (pp. 22-119) |
5b. Creating Effective Figures and Maps | Picture Worth a Thousand Words Powerpoint | View>> (Class BB Site>Data Visualization folder>How Much is Picture Worth? (Powerpoint) | |
Week 6, xx
6a. Google Earth Training (Lab Session) |
Due>> Causal Loops (Assign #2) |
Go to Lab
Google Earth Training |
View>> BB folder: Data Visualization, Google Earth Training videos Google Earth: http://earth.google.com/ World Mapper: http://www.worldmapper.org/ Gapminder: http://www.gapminder.org/world/ |
6b. Comparing Historic Cases (2) | Assigned>> Maps (Assign #4) |
Google Earth Work | Project Time and Exercises |
Week 7, xx
7a. WordPress Basics (Lab Session) |
Due>> History (Assign #3) |
Dweaver #1 Basics Properties Links Graphics |
View>> Using Lynda.com, See Modules Document (BB-W) See>> HTML: http://www.htmlcodetutorial.com/quicklist.html See>> http:// www.htmlcodetutorial.com/quicklist.html |
7b. Transition Climate Period | Compare/Contrast: Fagan, Matching Cases in New World |
Read>> Fagan (pp. 120-end) Group comparisons |
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Week 8, xx
8a. Modern Cases |
Due>> Maps (Assignment #4) | Modern Cases of Climate Change and Conflict | Read>> Lee, Chapter 2, Little Ice Age pp. 43-50 Read>> Ruddiman, Chapters 3 and 4, pp. 65-150 Read>> Lee, Chapter 2, Anthropocene Cases (pp. 51-65) Read>> Ruddiman, Chapters 4-end (pp. 151-end) |
8b. Modern cases | Limits to the Role of Climate Change | Web Page Working Session | |
Week 9, xx
9a. Forecasts of Climate Change and Conflict |
Due>> Region Forecast (Assign #7) | Humans and Human Security
Guest Speaker, Marcus King, GW |
Read>> (Class BB Site>Articles #4) CNA, National Security and the Threat of Climate Changehttp://www.cna.org/nationalsecurity/climate/ |
9b. Climate Forecasts | Forecasts | Read>> Lee, Chapter 3, Forecasts (pp. 66-116) | |
Week 10, xx
10a. Population Forecasts |
Future Jeopardy (BYO Jeopardy) | A Contest of Prognostication | |
10b. Dreamweaver self-quiz | Due>> D-weaver Self-test (Assign #5) |
Dweaver: Embedding Videos, Hot Spots |
Self-test Quiz found in BB Assignment Manager, Answers in DW folder. Submit your final score. |
Week 11, xx
11a. Scenarios of Climate Change |
Six Key Hot Spots | Read>> Lee, Chapter 4, Scenarios (pp. 117-147) | |
11b. Three Views on Climate and Security | Read>> (Class BB Site>Articles #9) Geoff Dabelko ,“Avoid Hyperbole”, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/op-eds/avoid-hyperbole-oversimplification-when-climate-and-security-meet Read>> (Class BB Site>Articles #5) Barnett and Adger, “Climate change, security and conflict” Read>> (Class BB Site>Articles #6) “Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa”, Marshall B. Burkea, Edward Miguel, Shanker Satyanathd, John A. Dykemae, and David B. Lobellb |
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Week 12, xx
12a. Cold War Push |
Northern Push Factors | Read>>Laurence C. Smith, The World in 2050, New York: Plume, 2011. Part I, the Push, pp. 1-122 | |
12b. Assessing Scenarios | Qualitative Expert Exercise | Delphi Rounds of Scoring | Read>> (Class BB Site>Articles #7) Delphi Technique |
Week 13, xx
13a. Policy Implications |
What are practical policies? | Read>> Lee, Chapter 5, Policy Implications (pp. 148-170) Read>> (Class BB Site>Articles #3) “Implications of Climate Change for Armed Conflict”,Halvard Buhaug, Nils Petter Gleditsch & Ole Magnus Theisen |
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13b. New Research Angles | Northern Pull Factors | Read>>Laurence C. Smith, The World in 2050, New York: Plume, 2011. Part II and III, the Pull and Alternate Endings”, pp.123-261. Moving Borders |
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Thanksgiving November |
No Class | ||
Week 14, xx
a. Review |
New Research Areas
Moving Borders and Cloud Seeding |
Cloud Seeding http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200910/cmselect/cmsctech/memo/geoengineer/ucm0102.htmMoving Borders Virtual Conference |
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14b. Assessing the Cases (Lab Session) |
Work on Cases and Forecast Project | Lab is scheduled for those who want to come in | |
Final, xx | Due>> ICE Case Study (Assign #6) | Final Meeting Presentations on Cases and Forecasts |